Archive for February, 2008
The boomers

i see it as a very pressing matter for our economy to take into account all of the Baby Boomers that are going to start their retirement in the next few years.  the reason for this concern is this: most defined benefit (pension) plans are going the way of the dinosaurs.  they have been declining for years.  this means that most boomers’ retirement funds are in IRA’s or something similar. where do these accounts really keep the money? in mutual funds, that in turn fund the Market.

why is this a problem? well… i am sure that these retiree’s need to have money to live during these Golden Years. this means that they have to take money out no matter how low the market is. they don’t have the choice, they have to have the money, and make no mistake they are a significant percentage of the market.

so when they start this withdrawal, i am sure that we will be feeling it. so tuck in and hang onto your positions. reverse your thinking. fight against your worries. we will make it through this, just like all the others down times.

how tax breaks help the economy

since i was filing my taxes today, i thought of this little problem that people have mentioned to me: 

there are many people that think that if the government needs more money they need to increase taxes. logic would dictate taxes are where the government gets all of its funding… and it is… but then again, it isn’t.

income taxes are a tiny part of where our sovereign’s money comes from. a pittance really. the majority of the US citizens are in the middle class that pays what? 15-25% ? that is nothing! 25% of 60k is only like 15k, that will never buy anything that our government needs. but the 34% they tax all corporations in this country? there is some real cash!

so the way that an income tax cut helps the economy is this: we have more money. we spend more on things that the corporations make/provide/etc.  then that corporation makes more money. then they give more of that money to the federal government, who buys more useless crap they don’t need and increase our national deficit. works out splendidly, right?

Stop all your liberal whining! and build some character.

i just have to say that if you don’t understand how Social Security and pensions work then stop saying that they are broken or ruined.  they aren’t.

First of all Social Security was never really meant to last forever. next, they work sort of like an Annuity, meaning you pay into it for a certain amount of time and then when you retire (annuitise) they begin paying you.  the problem is not that they broke, but that we have to many slacker, lazy, free loaders, that think that they “deserve” this money.  if you aren’t over the age of 65. you shouldn’t get a damn dime! go get a job and stop being a social parasite! as bad as the economy may seem, there are still plenty of jobs. if need be go work at McDonald’s. they pay higher than you might think ($9.50/hour).

i am reconciled to the fact that i will not be receiving any Social Security Benefits. but it is not cause the system is broken it. it is because of too many people taking money out.  in the 50′s and 60′s there were 10 people paying into SS for every person that was withdrawing. now it is 2.5 people paying in per 1 taking a benefit check.

i think that this current generation (my generation, i might add) seems to be the laziest on centuries. please, stop stealing all the money i worked for and go get a job, learn what hard work is. besides, it builds Character.

tax breaks help people that PAY taxes, not the person that gets all their deductions back.

the tax system of the USA is not that complicated. however, with all the upcoming elections and campaigning that is going on for the coming year, people have been talking about tax cuts.  yet, too many people have the wrong idea about them. so let us clear up the muddy waters and bring you out of the shoals.

here is a little story that i was told one time that i think will clear things up better than i can.

“Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.

The fifth would pay $1.

The sixth would pay $3.

The seventh would pay $7.

The eighth would pay $12.

The ninth would pay $18.

The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59. 

So, that’s what they decided to do.

The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement until one day the owner threw them a curved ball. “Because you are all such good customers,” he said, “I’m going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20.” Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men – the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his ‘fair share?’

They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody’s share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man’s bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay. And so:

The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).

The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33% savings).

The seventh now paid $5 instead of $7 (28% savings).

The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).

The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).

The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant the men began to compare their savings.

“I only got a dollar out of the $20,” declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man, “but he got $10!”

“Yeah, that’s right,” exclaimed the fifth man. “I only saved a dollar too. It’s unfair that he got ten times more than I!”

“That’s true!!” shouted the seventh man. “Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!”

“Wait a minute,” yelled the first four men in unison. “We didn’t get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!”

The nine men surrounded the tenth man and beat him up. The next night the tenth man didn’t show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn’t have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our Tax System works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.”

David R Kamerschen, Ph.D.
Professor of Economics
University of Georgia

so next time someone (read politician) tells you that you should be getting something for nothing, (insert free education or health-care, etc.) remember not to whine to the rich person about your plight. cause chances are, they already paid for your welfare check.

my heart goes out to… myself

i should have learned many years ago when i just a little pirate, that the majority of people have very little logic… we are creatures of passion and emotion.  therefore, woe is me.

you see, in my (not anywhere close to) humble opinion, Google had and still has everything going for it. as far as i am concerned they will be the next Microsoft. no one can stop this juggernaut. so why is it that everyone is dumping their Google stock? i mean i know i spoke about the Yahoo! buy a few days ago, but you are killing me people!  Google is not going to be slain by the little old David this time. just like Microsoft is not going anywhere.  any of you that understand the markets know that the overnight market is loving the fact that all of you are selling.  large corporations have been buying up cheap Google… that is why, among other reasons, that i am hanging onto all of my Google

Bank of America can have it.

a deck mate of mine recently complained about the $4.1 billion acquisition of Country Wide mortgage company by Bank of America.  i had to ask why that was such a huge thing to him and he responded that he didn’t think we should bail out a sinking ship…

well the thing about that sinking ship is that it holds the majority of US Real Estate in the belly of that boat. not something that i want on the bottom of the sea as far as i am concerned.  what he should have been looking for was the wind that is now filling the sails of BAC stock.  since the acquisition of Counrtywide, BAC has gone up almost $7/a share. if you were smart enough to jump on that boat you are going to be riding the swells for awhile.

Recession, Schmession

so as everyone scrambles for their stocks and securities in this “pending recession” i think to myself…. why is everyone selling?

historically the market has ALWAYS recovered. not one single time has it not… so there is no need to run for the banks as they did in the 1929 market collapse.  it is precisely during these times that you want to buy! i think of my favorite person in the world that is still currently alive, Warren Buffet.  the Berkshire Hathaway guru himself has made almost all of the money that he has by following this very simple rule.  “buy low, sell dear” if you are always putting money into stocks that are low. and you never sell unless you are making a profit then you should be doing perfectly.  of course this is simple to say but when you are dealing with your own money, how many of us can calmly and dispassionately look at our portfolio dropping and say… “lets put more money into it!” but that is exactly what i and Mr. Buffet would advise.

 So to help you in this most difficult of endeavors, i have a few suggestions.

one, always look for undervalued stock. by this i mean look for low share price with high PE (price to earnings) ratios.

two, listen to the news. if any of you have been listening for that last few weeks then you would know that Microsoft is thinking of buying Yahoo! guess what if you had bought Yahoo! 2 weeks ago… you would be up over 50%…

third, and lastly, remember that the stock market is a long run game. not a sprint. it will come up… it always does. just hold onto your stock and it will go up.